Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, ideas and predictions
The Indiana Pacers (24-27) Head to the FedExForum for a 8pm ET game against the Memphis grizzlies (26-24). Below we analyze the Pacers-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA tips and predictions.
Indiana has won three of its last four games (2-2 against the spread), including two wins against the Minnesota Timberwolves Tuesday and Orlando Magic Thursday.
Memphis had captured its winning streak in four games from the New York Knicks in heartbreaking overtime between 133 and 129 on Thursday. The Grizzlies are 5-2 overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and sit in eighth place in the Western Conference.
The Pacers have beaten the Grizzlies in three consecutive games (0-3 ATS) since the start of last season, most recently on February 2 with 134-116 whooping cough.
Pacemaker at Grizzlies: Chances of Winning, Spread and Lines
Odds of winning through BetMGM; For a full list, see USA TODAY Sports betting odds. The rows were last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Pacers +135 (bet $ 100 to win $ 135) | Grizzlies -160 (bet $ 160 to win $ 100)
- Against the spread / ATS: Pacemaker +3.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -3.5 (-110)
- Over under: 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pacemaker in grizzlies: key injuries
- C. Myles Turner (Ankle) likely
- PF Years Jackson Jr. (Knee) out
- PG De’Anthony Melton (Leg) out
- SF Justise Winslow (Quadriceps) out
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Pacemaker at Grizzlies: odds, lines, predictions and tips
Grizzlies 120, Pacers 113
Money line (ML)
CONSIST on Memphis straight, but I’d entertain putting Grizzlies (-160) in a parlay with the Chicago Bulls money line for a plus money payout.
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Against the Spread (ATS)
Grizzlies big Jonas Valančiūnas missed the first Pacers Grizzlies game this season, which is a primary reason Indiana scored more rebounds and scored points in the color.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Valančiūnas ranks in the 96th percentile of the bigs for the on-off offensive rebound rate and the 97th percentile for the defensive rounding rate.
Controlling the glass is a big part of what Memphis does. The Grizzlies score the most painting and second chance points per game on average.
This is a problem for the Pacers, who give up the second highest color points per game and the most second chance points per game.
The other reason the Indiana boat first drove in Memphis was because it shot 60% off the field and 55% behind the bow into insanity.
Well, the Grizzlies’ defense is better when Valančiūnas is on the ground, and their 3-point defense has improved a lot over the course of the season.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, opponents with Valančiūnas on the ground shoot 3.3% worse than three, putting him in the 88th percentile of the great.
The basic basketball principle behind this is simple: Memphis can expand its external defense because it relies on Valančiūnas to protect the rim and control the interior.
And after the All-Star break, Memphis is in eighth place on the defensive with 3 points, but before the All-Star game the Grizzlies were 21st.
With BetMGM predicting a tight project in Pacers-Grizzlies, I’d rather not have my money on an Indiana team that has the sixth worst net rating in clutch situations.
If that game is too late, Memphis will come out on top in half-court basketball and late-game execution.
BET GRIZZLIES -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit only because we get the worst number as most of the market supports Memphis.
Over / Under (O / U)
CONSIST because my numbers match the total from BetMGM. The only side I would bet on is the 233.5 (-110) over. Both teams are in the top 10 and should be successful in transition.
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