Indiana Pacers at Houston Rockets odds, ideas and predictions

The Pacers (25-28) play the second half of a consecutive Wednesday against the hosts Houston Rockets (14-40) at the Toyota Center. The drop-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the Pacers-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA tips and predictions.

Indiana had captured its winning streak in three games on Tuesday by a Los Angeles Clippers missing from SF Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers won 126-115 in Indiana as a 3-point favorite. The Pacers have been 4-4 and 3-5 against the spread for the past two weeks, but they have lost double digits in their last three losses.

Houston have lost three games in a row and eight of their last nine competitions, while ATS 4-5 on Wednesday.

The Pacers defeated the Rockets 114-107 earlier this season as a 3-point home favorite, but four of Houston’s starting 5 are no longer on the team and its second leading scorer of the game – SG Eric Gordon– is not active for this competition.

Pacers at Rockets: odds, spreads and lines

Odds of winning through BetMGM; For a full list, see USA TODAY betting odds. The rows were last updated at 3:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pacers -190 (bet $ 190 to win $ 100) | Rockets +155 (bet $ 100 to win $ 155)
  • Against the spread / ATS: Pacemaker -4.5 (-110) | Missiles +4.5 (-110)
  • Over under: 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pacers at Rockets: Key Violations

Pacemaker

  • C. Myles Turner (Ankle) questionable
  • SF Doug McDermott (Ankle) questionable

Missiles

  • PG DJ Augustin (Ankle) out
  • SG Sterling Brown (Knee) out
  • SG Eric Gordon (Groin) out
  • SF David Nwaba (Wrist) out
  • SF Danuel Jr. (Ankle) out

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Pacers at Rockets: Odds, Lines, Predictions and Tips

forecast

Pacers 119, Rockets 116

Money line (ML)

CONSIST because I can only “lean” missiles plus the points and can’t justify winning Houston even though Indiana 2020-21 is inconsistent. The Pacers have a winning record (16-12) but are only 9-16 at home.

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Against the Spread (ATS)

The market has repeatedly overrated the Pacers this season, hence their 11-18 ATS record as a favorite and Indiana’s current 1-7 ATS skid as a favorite.

Not only that, but what gives me hope in Houston and the points at this point are the edges that it has on the forecourt. Turner is a legitimate defensive presence in the suit and his playing status is in question.

Rockets PF Kelly Olynyk did a great job defending Pacer’s All-Star PF Domantas Sabonis when they met while Olynyk was playing with the Miami Heat.

Sabonis averaged just 15 points per game at 44.4% in his two games against Olynyk this year. The awfulness of Houston can’t be emphasized enough, so only can I “LEAN” MISSILES +4.5 (-110) for half a unit.

Over / Under (O / U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 233.5 (-110) for half a unit for several reasons.

First, none of these teams have played a defense lately – five of the last six games in Houston have exceeded the grand total, and Indiana has lost the upper hand in three out of four games.

Also, both teams are playing at a top 7 pace so we should have a lot of possessions, which leads to more points.

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